← Matchups

Miami (OH)

MAC · 1-1 · power +4.3 · #128
Our numberM-OH -6.1 no book has priced this game

Kent State

MAC · 1-1 · power -1.3 · #190
Our side
MoneylineM-OH to win ours 41%
Projected score 30–24 M-OH – KENT
2026-11-17 · 7:00 PM Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium · Kent, OH MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Miami (OH) lead 46–16 · 62 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 41 ranks apart
Miami (OH) RedHawks #156 rush offense Kent State Golden Flashes #197 run defense
Pass game even 16 ranks apart
Miami (OH) RedHawks #160 pass offense Kent State Golden Flashes #144 pass defense
Run game edge Miami (OH) RedHawks 181 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #255 rush offense Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 run defense
Pass game edge Miami (OH) RedHawks 69 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #143 pass offense Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 pass defense
Miami (OH) RedHawks Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 49 rush ypg Kent State Golden Flashes Balanced · 57% run Ball-control
Chuck Martin · 70-64 · defense-minded Mark Carney · 5-7

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Miami (OH) RedHawks
QB David McComb 474 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #62 QB
WR Damarion Witten 3 rec · 100 yds · 2 TD #203 WR
TE Christian Ross 4 rec · 52 yds · 1 TD #81 TE
WR Lynel Billups-Williams 8 rec · 104 yds · 1 TD #266 WR
Kent State Golden Flashes
DL Jaihien Roy 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #51 DL
LB Rocco Nicholl 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #145 LB
LB Hayden Dawahare 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #234 LB
QB Dru DeShields 311 pass yds · 1 TD · 2 INT #102 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Miami (OH) RedHawksMAC +4.3 +3.3 +0.9 #128
Kent State Golden FlashesMAC -1.3 +3.2 -4.6 #190

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Miami (OH) offense vs Kent State defense+7.9 pts
Kent State offense vs Miami (OH) defense+2.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.