Our side
MoneylineTOL to win
ours 87%
Projected score
16–35
BGSU – TOL
2026-11-20 · 7:30 PM
Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Toledo lead
33–30–1
· 64 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Toledo Rockets
165 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #188 rush offense
Toledo Rockets #23 run defense
Pass game
edge Toledo Rockets
195 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #199 pass offense
Toledo Rockets #4 pass defense
Run game
edge Toledo Rockets
58 ranks
Toledo Rockets #70 rush offense
Bowling Green Falcons #128 run defense
Pass game
edge Toledo Rockets
125 ranks
Toledo Rockets #66 pass offense
Bowling Green Falcons #191 pass defense
Bowling Green Falcons
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Toledo Rockets
Balanced · 55% run
Ball-control
Eddie George · 4-8 · defense-minded
Robert Weiner · 0-1
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Bowling Green Falcons
DB
Kal-El Pascal
22 tkl · 1 PD
#29 DB
LB
Dorian Pringle
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#41 LB
TE
Jeremiah Scoby
12 rec · 121 yds
#25 TE
DB
JoJo Johnson
9 tkl · 1 INT
#359 DB
Toledo Rockets
LB
Isaac Zay
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#14 LB
DL
Andrew Zock
9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#68 DL
WR
Adjatay Dabbs
8 rec · 135 yds · 3 TD
#59 WR
RB
Connor Walendzak
110 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec
#67 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Bowling Green offense vs Toledo defense-14.5 pts
Toledo offense vs Bowling Green defense+1.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.