Our side
MoneylineBUF to win
ours 55%
Projected score
26–25
CMU – BUF
2026-11-18 · kickoff TBD
Broadview Stadium · Buffalo, NY
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Central Michigan lead
9–4
· 13 meetings since 1999
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Buffalo Bulls
102 ranks
Central Michigan Chippewas #154 rush offense
Buffalo Bulls #52 run defense
Pass game
edge Central Michigan Chippewas
94 ranks
Central Michigan Chippewas #12 pass offense
Buffalo Bulls #106 pass defense
Run game
edge Central Michigan Chippewas
163 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #245 rush offense
Central Michigan Chippewas #82 run defense
Pass game
edge Central Michigan Chippewas
111 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #182 pass offense
Central Michigan Chippewas #71 pass defense
Central Michigan Chippewas
Run-heavy · 68% run
Ball-control
Buffalo Bulls
Balanced · 46% run
Avg pace
Matt Drinkall · 7-6
Pete Lembo · 17-20 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Central Michigan Chippewas
DB
Darrell Bryant Jr.
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#158 DB
DL
Hunter Zirkle
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#183 DL
DL
Korver Demma
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#219 DL
LB
Mayson Hitchens
15 tkl
#178 LB
Buffalo Bulls
WR
Chance Morrow
18 rec · 221 yds · 5 TD
#6 WR
LB
SaVeon Brown
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#66 LB
LB
Stevie Bracey
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#118 LB
DL
Logan Goodwin
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#231 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Central Michigan offense vs Buffalo defense-8.2 pts
Buffalo offense vs Central Michigan defense-8.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.