Our side
MoneylineAKR to win
ours 68%
Projected score
21–32
BUF – AKR
2026-11-27 · 12:00 PM
InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Buffalo lead
13–12
· 25 meetings since 1999
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Akron Zips
183 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #245 rush offense
Akron Zips #62 run defense
Pass game
edge Akron Zips
60 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #182 pass offense
Akron Zips #122 pass defense
Run game
edge Buffalo Bulls
163 ranks
Akron Zips #215 rush offense
Buffalo Bulls #52 run defense
Pass game
edge Buffalo Bulls
95 ranks
Akron Zips #201 pass offense
Buffalo Bulls #106 pass defense
Buffalo Bulls
Balanced · 46% run
Avg pace
Akron Zips
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Pete Lembo · 17-20 · defense-minded
Joe Moorhead · 27-47 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Buffalo Bulls
WR
Chance Morrow
18 rec · 221 yds · 5 TD
#6 WR
LB
SaVeon Brown
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#66 LB
LB
Stevie Bracey
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#118 LB
DL
Logan Goodwin
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#231 DL
Akron Zips
TE
Elijah Alexander
7 rec · 61 yds · 3 TD
#9 TE
QB
Cibastian Broughton
338 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#17 QB
DL
Omari Abor
8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#84 DL
RB
Sean Patrick
100 rush yds · 6 rec
#134 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Buffalo offense vs Akron defense-3.5 pts
Akron offense vs Buffalo defense+2.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.