← Matchups

Central Michigan

MAC · 1-1 · power -3.5 · #222
Our numberBALL -8.0 no book has priced this game

Ball State

MAC · 1-1 · power +1.3 · #156
Our side
MoneylineBALL to win ours 66%
Projected score 21–29 CMU – BALL
2026-11-28 · 12:00 PM Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Ball State lead 26–22–1 · 49 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Central Michigan Chippewas 66 ranks
Central Michigan Chippewas #154 rush offense Ball State Cardinals #220 run defense
Pass game edge Central Michigan Chippewas 186 ranks
Central Michigan Chippewas #12 pass offense Ball State Cardinals #198 pass defense
Run game edge Central Michigan Chippewas 143 ranks
Ball State Cardinals #225 rush offense Central Michigan Chippewas #82 run defense
Pass game edge Central Michigan Chippewas 191 ranks
Ball State Cardinals #262 pass offense Central Michigan Chippewas #71 pass defense
Central Michigan Chippewas Run-heavy · 68% run Ball-control Ball State Cardinals Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg
Matt Drinkall · 7-6 Mike Uremovich · 4-8 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Central Michigan Chippewas
DB Darrell Bryant Jr. 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #158 DB
DL Hunter Zirkle 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #183 DL
DL Korver Demma 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #219 DL
LB Mayson Hitchens 15 tkl #178 LB
Ball State Cardinals
DB Anthony Pinnace 6 tkl · 1 PD #261 DB
TE Tate Hoover 6 rec · 23 yds · 1 TD #70 TE
RB Jalen Bonds 86 rush yds · 1 TD · 2 rec #211 RB
DB Kamron Chamble 4 tkl · 2 INT #507 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Central Michigan ChippewasMAC -3.5 -8.6 +5.1 #222
Ball State CardinalsMAC +1.3 +0.1 +1.2 #156

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Central Michigan offense vs Ball State defense-9.8 pts
Ball State offense vs Central Michigan defense-5.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.