Our side
MoneylineM-OH to win
ours 69%
Projected score
21–30
BGSU – M-OH
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Miami (OH) lead
34–21–4
· 59 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
114 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #188 rush offense
Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 run defense
Pass game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
125 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #199 pass offense
Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 pass defense
Run game
even
28 ranks apart
Miami (OH) RedHawks #156 rush offense
Bowling Green Falcons #128 run defense
Pass game
even
31 ranks apart
Miami (OH) RedHawks #160 pass offense
Bowling Green Falcons #191 pass defense
Bowling Green Falcons
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Miami (OH) RedHawks
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 49 rush ypg
Eddie George · 4-8 · defense-minded
Chuck Martin · 70-64 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Bowling Green Falcons
DB
Kal-El Pascal
22 tkl · 1 PD
#29 DB
LB
Dorian Pringle
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#41 LB
TE
Jeremiah Scoby
12 rec · 121 yds
#25 TE
DB
JoJo Johnson
9 tkl · 1 INT
#359 DB
Miami (OH) RedHawks
QB
David McComb
474 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#62 QB
WR
Damarion Witten
3 rec · 100 yds · 2 TD
#203 WR
TE
Christian Ross
4 rec · 52 yds · 1 TD
#81 TE
WR
Lynel Billups-Williams
8 rec · 104 yds · 1 TD
#266 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Bowling Green offense vs Miami (OH) defense-7.9 pts
Miami (OH) offense vs Bowling Green defense-1.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.