← Matchups

Virginia Lynchburg

· 0-2 · power -46.1 · #407

Our numberHAMP -24.1 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Hampton

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -25.5 · #389

Final VIRG 0 · HAMP 45 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineHAMP to win logged ours 91%

Our number: HAMP by 20.3 — HAMP to win.

Projected score 16–40 VIRG – HAMP

2026-08-29 · 6:00 PM Armstrong Stadium · Hampton, VA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Hampton lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2018

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Hampton Pirates Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Virginia Lynchburg Dragons

DL Najahti Clark 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #279 DL

DL Ben Bellamy 5 tkl · 1.0 TFL #1034 DL

DL Tyson Woods 6 tkl #1254 DL

RB James Carney 32 rush yds · 3 rec #584 RB

Hampton Pirates

DB Cam Sturdifen 27 tkl #143 DB

DB Caden Rice 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #154 DB

DL Korede Sogbesan 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #333 DL

DB Qwae Willis 16 tkl · 1 PD #410 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Virginia Lynchburg Dragons	-46.1	-20.5	-25.6	#407
Hampton Pirates	-25.5	-14.9	-10.5	#389

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Virginia Lynchburg offense vs Hampton defense-10.0 pts

Hampton offense vs Virginia Lynchburg defense+10.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.