Final
UNH 14 · UALB 28
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUNH to win logged
live now: UALB to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 67%
Our number: UNH by 7.3 — UNH to win.
Projected score
24–31
UNH – UALB
2026-08-28 · 7:00 PM
Bob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey Stadium · Albany, NY
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
New Hampshire lead
9–5
· 14 meetings since 2008
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
32 ranks apart
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 rush offense
UAlbany Great Danes #148 run defense
Pass game
edge New Hampshire Wildcats
47 ranks
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 pass offense
UAlbany Great Danes #163 pass defense
Run game
even
19 ranks apart
UAlbany Great Danes #208 rush offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #227 run defense
Pass game
edge New Hampshire Wildcats
74 ranks
UAlbany Great Danes #227 pass offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #153 pass defense
New Hampshire Wildcats
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
UAlbany Great Danes
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
New Hampshire Wildcats
LB
Trevor Barry
39 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#21 LB
DB
Jackson Stone
27 tkl · 1 PD
#76 DB
WR
Ja'Carree Kelly
14 rec · 211 yds · 1 TD
#110 WR
RB
Joquez Smith
208 rush yds · 3 TD
#82 RB
UAlbany Great Danes
DL
Shawan Lewis
10 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#48 DL
DB
Victor Holt
19 tkl · 2 PD
#176 DB
RB
Joey Koch
216 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec
#95 RB
DL
Isaiah Boyd
11 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#304 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
New Hampshire offense vs UAlbany defense-3.6 pts
UAlbany offense vs New Hampshire defense+1.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.