Final
MONM 14 · TNTC 38
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineTNTC to win logged
ours 83%
Our number: TNTC by 7.5 — TNTC to win.
Projected score
22–39
MONM – TNTC
2026-08-29 · 7:00 PM
Tucker Stadium · Cookeville, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
15 ranks apart
Monmouth Hawks #26 rush offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #11 run defense
Pass game
even
2 ranks apart
Monmouth Hawks #21 pass offense
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #23 pass defense
Run game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
117 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #17 rush offense
Monmouth Hawks #134 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
57 ranks
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles #71 pass offense
Monmouth Hawks #128 pass defense
Monmouth Hawks
Balanced · 51% run
Up-tempo
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 37 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Monmouth Hawks
DB
Jaeden Jones
33 tkl
#31 DB
RB
Kenny Smith Jr.
166 rush yds · 2 TD · 8 rec
#41 RB
WR
Tra Neal
19 rec · 188 yds · 1 TD
#63 WR
WR
Gavin Nelson
19 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
#83 WR
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
DL
Hudson Tucker
10 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#46 DL
WR
Gabe Nunez
11 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD
#137 WR
WR
Tre' Holloway
12 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD
#138 WR
RB
Qua Ashley
120 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#119 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Monmouth offense vs Tennessee Tech defense-2.2 pts
Tennessee Tech offense vs Monmouth defense+11.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 685 mi
Altitude · context only331 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.