Final
SHU 24 · MONM 31
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineMONM to win logged
ours 74%
Our number: MONM by 14.9 — MONM to win.
Projected score
24–36
SHU – MONM
2026-09-05 · 2:00 PM
Kessler Stadium · West Long Branch, NJ
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Monmouth lead
9–2
· 11 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Sacred Heart Pioneers
115 ranks
Sacred Heart Pioneers #19 rush offense
Monmouth Hawks #134 run defense
Pass game
edge Sacred Heart Pioneers
59 ranks
Sacred Heart Pioneers #69 pass offense
Monmouth Hawks #128 pass defense
Run game
edge Monmouth Hawks
180 ranks
Monmouth Hawks #26 rush offense
Sacred Heart Pioneers #206 run defense
Pass game
edge Monmouth Hawks
169 ranks
Monmouth Hawks #21 pass offense
Sacred Heart Pioneers #190 pass defense
Sacred Heart Pioneers
Run-heavy · 67% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg
Monmouth Hawks
Balanced · 51% run
Up-tempo
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Sacred Heart Pioneers
WR
Dean Hangey
6 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD
#215 WR
LB
Myles Hamilton
14 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#225 LB
DL
Janier Armstead
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#474 DL
DB
Ryan Palmieri
14 tkl
#519 DB
Monmouth Hawks
DB
Jaeden Jones
33 tkl
#31 DB
RB
Kenny Smith Jr.
166 rush yds · 2 TD · 8 rec
#41 RB
WR
Tra Neal
19 rec · 188 yds · 1 TD
#63 WR
WR
Gavin Nelson
19 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
#83 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Sacred Heart offense vs Monmouth defense-0.7 pts
Monmouth offense vs Sacred Heart defense+7.7 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.