← Matchups

Elon

· 2-1 (0-1) · power +0.1 · #173
Our numberELON -18.9 no book has priced this game

Davidson

· 1-2 · power -20.9 · #381
Final ELON 38 · DAV 0 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineELON to win logged ours 15%

Our number: ELON by 21.4 — ELON to win.

Projected score 36–17 ELON – DAV
2026-09-05 · 6:00 PM Richardson Stadium (Davidson, NC) · Davidson, NC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Davidson lead 16–4 · 20 meetings since 1921
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Elon Phoenix 135 ranks
Elon Phoenix #126 rush offense Davidson Wildcats #261 run defense
Pass game edge Elon Phoenix 80 ranks
Elon Phoenix #123 pass offense Davidson Wildcats #203 pass defense
Run game edge Elon Phoenix 186 ranks
Davidson Wildcats #247 rush offense Elon Phoenix #61 run defense
Pass game even 12 ranks apart
Davidson Wildcats #145 pass offense Elon Phoenix #133 pass defense
Elon Phoenix Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 51 rush ypg Davidson Wildcats Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Elon Phoenix
RB Kamerin McDowell-Moore 280 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #71 RB
LB Brodie Carroll 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #110 LB
DL Dillon Pardue 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #257 DL
DB Remington Moss 6 tkl · 5 PD #265 DB
Davidson Wildcats
WR Jacary Lightsey 24 rec · 233 yds · 1 TD #50 WR
DL Danzel Chukwuemeka 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #200 DL
DL Jarmal Gilmore 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #223 DL
TE Jack Perozek 7 rec · 62 yds · 1 TD #51 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Elon Phoenix +0.1 -4.9 +5.0 #173
Davidson Wildcats -20.9 -8.4 -12.5 #381

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Elon offense vs Davidson defense+7.6 pts
Davidson offense vs Elon defense-13.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.