Final
STO 35 · UNH 42
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUNH to win logged
ours 69%
Our number: UNH by 12.3 — UNH to win.
Projected score
22–31
STO – UNH
2026-09-12 · 6:00 PM
Wildcat Stadium (NH) · Durham, NH
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
New Hampshire lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
22 ranks apart
Stonehill Skyhawks #249 rush offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #227 run defense
Pass game
edge New Hampshire Wildcats
49 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #202 pass offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #153 pass defense
Run game
edge New Hampshire Wildcats
77 ranks
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 rush offense
Stonehill Skyhawks #193 run defense
Pass game
edge Stonehill Skyhawks
95 ranks
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 pass offense
Stonehill Skyhawks #21 pass defense
Stonehill Skyhawks
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
New Hampshire Wildcats
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stonehill Skyhawks
TE
Cole Clarke
11 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD
#26 TE
DL
Christopher Gill
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#261 DL
LB
Caden Henritzy
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#163 LB
DB
Mo Seide
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#267 DB
New Hampshire Wildcats
LB
Trevor Barry
39 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#21 LB
DB
Jackson Stone
27 tkl · 1 PD
#76 DB
WR
Ja'Carree Kelly
14 rec · 211 yds · 1 TD
#110 WR
RB
Joquez Smith
208 rush yds · 3 TD
#82 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stonehill offense vs New Hampshire defense-5.9 pts
New Hampshire offense vs Stonehill defense+0.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.