Our side
MoneylineURI to win
ours 23%
Projected score
36–23
URI – STBK
2026-09-19 · 2:30 PM
Kenneth P. LaValle Stadium · Stony Brook, NY
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Stony Brook lead
7–4
· 11 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Stony Brook Seawolves
102 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #136 rush offense
Stony Brook Seawolves #34 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
142 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #19 pass offense
Stony Brook Seawolves #161 pass defense
Run game
even
25 ranks apart
Stony Brook Seawolves #110 rush offense
Rhode Island Rams #135 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
181 ranks
Stony Brook Seawolves #229 pass offense
Rhode Island Rams #48 pass defense
Rhode Island Rams
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Stony Brook Seawolves
Balanced · 52% run
Up-tempo
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Rhode Island Rams
WR
Marquis Buchanan
20 rec · 234 yds · 3 TD
#19 WR
LB
Moses Meus
16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#29 LB
DL
Case Mankins
6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#107 DL
DB
Andre DePina-Gray
16 tkl · 2 INT
#206 DB
Stony Brook Seawolves
DL
Khalid Bueno
21 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 8.5 TFL
#2 DL
DB
Joseph Garcia
34 tkl · 1 INT
#3 DB
WR
Seth Sweitzer
24 rec · 288 yds · 2 TD
#22 WR
TE
Keiden Gutierrez
10 rec · 102 yds · 2 TD
#14 TE
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Rhode Island offense vs Stony Brook defense+11.2 pts
Stony Brook offense vs Rhode Island defense-4.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment-13.5
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).