← Matchups

Sacred Heart

· 0-2 · power -15.6 · #351
Our numberELON -19.0 no book has priced this game

Elon

· 2-1 (0-1) · power +0.1 · #173
Our side
MoneylineELON to win ours 85%
Projected score 15–34 SHU – ELON
2026-09-19 · 6:00 PM Rhodes Stadium · Elon, NC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 42 ranks apart
Sacred Heart Pioneers #19 rush offense Elon Phoenix #61 run defense
Pass game edge Sacred Heart Pioneers 64 ranks
Sacred Heart Pioneers #69 pass offense Elon Phoenix #133 pass defense
Run game edge Elon Phoenix 80 ranks
Elon Phoenix #126 rush offense Sacred Heart Pioneers #206 run defense
Pass game edge Elon Phoenix 67 ranks
Elon Phoenix #123 pass offense Sacred Heart Pioneers #190 pass defense
Sacred Heart Pioneers Run-heavy · 67% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg Elon Phoenix Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 51 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Sacred Heart Pioneers
WR Dean Hangey 6 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD #215 WR
LB Myles Hamilton 14 tkl · 2.0 TFL #225 LB
DL Janier Armstead 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #474 DL
DB Ryan Palmieri 14 tkl #519 DB
Elon Phoenix
RB Kamerin McDowell-Moore 280 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #71 RB
LB Brodie Carroll 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #110 LB
DL Dillon Pardue 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #257 DL
DB Remington Moss 6 tkl · 5 PD #265 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Sacred Heart Pioneers -15.6 -9.9 -5.6 #351
Elon Phoenix +0.1 -4.9 +5.0 #173

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Sacred Heart offense vs Elon defense-14.9 pts
Elon offense vs Sacred Heart defense+0.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 489 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.