← Matchups

Campbell

· 2-1 · power -4.6 · #235
Our numberCAM -19.4 no book has priced this game

Hampton

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -25.5 · #389
Our side
MoneylineCAM to win ours 14%
Projected score 37–18 CAM – HAMP
2026-09-26 · 6:00 PM Armstrong Stadium · Hampton, VA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Campbell lead 3–1 · 4 meetings since 2019
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Campbell Fighting Camels 59 ranks
Campbell Fighting Camels #197 rush offense Hampton Pirates #256 run defense
Pass game even 35 ranks apart
Campbell Fighting Camels #173 pass offense Hampton Pirates #208 pass defense
Run game even 7 ranks apart
Hampton Pirates #218 rush offense Campbell Fighting Camels #225 run defense
Pass game even 9 ranks apart
Hampton Pirates #231 pass offense Campbell Fighting Camels #222 pass defense
Campbell Fighting Camels Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Hampton Pirates Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Campbell Fighting Camels
DL Justin Garza 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #124 DL
DL Ebenezer Bedada 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #197 DL
WR Spencer Jones 15 rec · 203 yds · 1 TD #136 WR
LB AJ Benton 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #135 LB
Hampton Pirates
DB Cam Sturdifen 27 tkl #143 DB
DB Caden Rice 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #154 DB
DL Korede Sogbesan 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #333 DL
DB Qwae Willis 16 tkl · 1 PD #410 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Campbell Fighting Camels -4.6 -1.1 -3.5 #235
Hampton Pirates -25.5 -14.9 -10.5 #389

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Campbell offense vs Hampton defense+9.4 pts
Hampton offense vs Campbell defense-11.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment-18.8

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).