← Matchups

UAlbany

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -6.2 · #254

Our numberUALB -0.9 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Princeton

· power -9.8 · #293

Our side

MoneylineUALB to win ours 48%

Projected score 24–23 UALB – PRIN

2026-09-26 · 3:00 PM Princeton Stadium · Princeton, NJ Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~39 ranks apart~~

UAlbany Great Danes #208 rush offense Princeton Tigers #169 run defense

Pass game edge Princeton Tigers ~~70 ranks~~

UAlbany Great Danes #227 pass offense Princeton Tigers #157 pass defense

Run game even ~~11 ranks apart~~

Princeton Tigers #159 rush offense UAlbany Great Danes #148 run defense

Pass game even ~~35 ranks apart~~

Princeton Tigers #198 pass offense UAlbany Great Danes #163 pass defense

UAlbany Great Danes Balanced · 52% run Ball-control Princeton Tigers Balanced · 53% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

UAlbany Great Danes

DL Shawan Lewis 10 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #48 DL

DB Victor Holt 19 tkl · 2 PD #176 DB

RB Joey Koch 216 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec #95 RB

DL Isaiah Boyd 11 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #304 DL

Princeton Tigers

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
UAlbany Great Danes	-6.2	-7.7	+1.5	#254
Princeton Tigers	-9.8	-9.6	-0.2	#293

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

UAlbany offense vs Princeton defense-7.4 pts

Princeton offense vs UAlbany defense-11.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.