Our side
MoneylineMONM to win
ours 71%
Projected score
26–35
TOW – MONM
2026-10-03 · 1:00 PM
Kessler Stadium · West Long Branch, NJ
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Towson and Monmouth split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Monmouth Hawks
105 ranks
Towson Tigers #239 rush offense
Monmouth Hawks #134 run defense
Pass game
edge Towson Tigers
77 ranks
Towson Tigers #51 pass offense
Monmouth Hawks #128 pass defense
Run game
edge Monmouth Hawks
157 ranks
Monmouth Hawks #26 rush offense
Towson Tigers #183 run defense
Pass game
edge Monmouth Hawks
138 ranks
Monmouth Hawks #21 pass offense
Towson Tigers #159 pass defense
Towson Tigers
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Monmouth Hawks
Balanced · 51% run
Up-tempo
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Towson Tigers
WR
Aaron Enterline
16 rec · 214 yds · 3 TD
#23 WR
DB
Bryan Lodge
14 tkl · 1 PD
#263 DB
LB
Jaydyn Johnson
24 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#165 LB
DB
Marquis Cooper
8 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#280 DB
Monmouth Hawks
DB
Jaeden Jones
33 tkl
#31 DB
RB
Kenny Smith Jr.
166 rush yds · 2 TD · 8 rec
#41 RB
WR
Tra Neal
19 rec · 188 yds · 1 TD
#63 WR
WR
Gavin Nelson
19 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
#83 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Towson offense vs Monmouth defense+2.0 pts
Monmouth offense vs Towson defense+6.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+7.6
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).