Our side
MoneylineME to win
ours 62%
Projected score
23–28
SHU – ME
2026-10-03 · 3:30 PM
Harold Alfond Sports Stadium · Orono, ME
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Maine lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2019
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Sacred Heart Pioneers
86 ranks
Sacred Heart Pioneers #19 rush offense
Maine Black Bears #105 run defense
Pass game
even
25 ranks apart
Sacred Heart Pioneers #69 pass offense
Maine Black Bears #44 pass defense
Run game
edge Maine Black Bears
128 ranks
Maine Black Bears #78 rush offense
Sacred Heart Pioneers #206 run defense
Pass game
edge Maine Black Bears
72 ranks
Maine Black Bears #118 pass offense
Sacred Heart Pioneers #190 pass defense
Sacred Heart Pioneers
Run-heavy · 67% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg
Maine Black Bears
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Sacred Heart Pioneers
WR
Dean Hangey
6 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD
#215 WR
LB
Myles Hamilton
14 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#225 LB
DL
Janier Armstead
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#474 DL
DB
Ryan Palmieri
14 tkl
#519 DB
Maine Black Bears
DL
Chris Bacon
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#24 DL
LB
Sam Oppenheimer
32 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#17 LB
DL
Bryce Purnell
11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#161 DL
DL
Derek Berlitz
15 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#184 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Sacred Heart offense vs Maine defense-6.0 pts
Maine offense vs Sacred Heart defense-4.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.