Our side
MoneylineBRY to win
ours 89%
Projected score
17–37
NCAT – BRY
2026-10-03 · 6:00 PM
Beirne Stadium · Smithfield, RI
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
North Carolina A&T lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Bryant Bulldogs
130 ranks
North Carolina A&T Aggies #217 rush offense
Bryant Bulldogs #87 run defense
Pass game
edge North Carolina A&T Aggies
52 ranks
North Carolina A&T Aggies #169 pass offense
Bryant Bulldogs #221 pass defense
Run game
even
30 ranks apart
Bryant Bulldogs #209 rush offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #239 run defense
Pass game
even
43 ranks apart
Bryant Bulldogs #208 pass offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #251 pass defense
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Bryant Bulldogs
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Carolina A&T Aggies
TE
Anthony Rucker
7 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD
#29 TE
DB
Mykell Harvey
16 tkl · 2 PD
#183 DB
WR
Elijah Kennedy
13 rec · 152 yds · 2 TD
#148 WR
DL
Eddie Conover
8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#336 DL
Bryant Bulldogs
DL
Toby Brown Jr.
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#190 DL
DB
Olatunde Mkparu
20 tkl · 1 PD
#335 DB
WR
Shamar Fowles
5 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
#341 WR
RB
OJ Ross
154 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 rec
#246 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Carolina A&T offense vs Bryant defense-10.1 pts
Bryant offense vs North Carolina A&T defense+6.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment+19.7
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 598 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.