← Matchups

Brown

· power -10.4 · #302

Our numberURI -18.6 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Rhode Island

· 2-1 (1-0) · power +4.8 · #125

Our side

MoneylineURI to win ours 87%

Projected score 19–38 BRWN – URI

2026-10-03 · 12:00 PM Centreville Bank Stadium · Pawtucket, RI Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Brown lead 65–22–2 · 89 meetings since 1909

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge Rhode Island Rams ~~61 ranks~~

Brown Bears #196 rush offense Rhode Island Rams #135 run defense

Pass game edge Rhode Island Rams ~~99 ranks~~

Brown Bears #147 pass offense Rhode Island Rams #48 pass defense

Run game edge Rhode Island Rams ~~67 ranks~~

Rhode Island Rams #136 rush offense Brown Bears #203 run defense

Pass game edge Rhode Island Rams ~~91 ranks~~

Rhode Island Rams #19 pass offense Brown Bears #110 pass defense

Brown Bears Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Rhode Island Rams Balanced · 53% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Brown Bears

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Rhode Island Rams

WR Marquis Buchanan 20 rec · 234 yds · 3 TD #19 WR

LB Moses Meus 16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #29 LB

DL Case Mankins 6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #107 DL

DB Andre DePina-Gray 16 tkl · 2 INT #206 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Brown Bears	-10.4	-3.2	-7.3	#302
Rhode Island Rams	+4.8	+1.4	+3.3	#125

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Brown offense vs Rhode Island defense-6.5 pts

Rhode Island offense vs Brown defense+8.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.