Our side
MoneylineUALB to win
ours 60%
Projected score
22–26
DSU – UALB
2026-10-03 · 3:30 PM
Bob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey Stadium · Albany, NY
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Delaware State lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
142 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #6 rush offense
UAlbany Great Danes #148 run defense
Pass game
even
4 ranks apart
Delaware State Hornets #167 pass offense
UAlbany Great Danes #163 pass defense
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
84 ranks
UAlbany Great Danes #208 rush offense
Delaware State Hornets #124 run defense
Pass game
edge Delaware State Hornets
101 ranks
UAlbany Great Danes #227 pass offense
Delaware State Hornets #126 pass defense
Delaware State Hornets
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
UAlbany Great Danes
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Delaware State Hornets
DB
Kemari Nix
17 tkl · 1 PD
#64 DB
DL
Quoy Rainey
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#173 DL
DL
Gensley Auguste
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#235 DL
WR
Jaylin Terzado
10 rec · 185 yds · 1 TD
#158 WR
UAlbany Great Danes
DL
Shawan Lewis
10 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#48 DL
DB
Victor Holt
19 tkl · 2 PD
#176 DB
RB
Joey Koch
216 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec
#95 RB
DL
Isaiah Boyd
11 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#304 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Delaware State offense vs UAlbany defense-8.1 pts
UAlbany offense vs Delaware State defense-5.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment+5.2
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).