← Matchups

Stonehill

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -17.0 · #360
Our numberSHU -4.3 no book has priced this game

Sacred Heart

· 0-2 · power -15.6 · #351
Our side
MoneylineSHU to win ours 60%
Projected score 22–26 STO – SHU
2026-10-10 · 12:00 PM Campus Field · Fairfield, CT Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Stonehill and Sacred Heart split 4 (2–2) · 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 43 ranks apart
Stonehill Skyhawks #249 rush offense Sacred Heart Pioneers #206 run defense
Pass game even 12 ranks apart
Stonehill Skyhawks #202 pass offense Sacred Heart Pioneers #190 pass defense
Run game edge Sacred Heart Pioneers 174 ranks
Sacred Heart Pioneers #19 rush offense Stonehill Skyhawks #193 run defense
Pass game edge Stonehill Skyhawks 48 ranks
Sacred Heart Pioneers #69 pass offense Stonehill Skyhawks #21 pass defense
Stonehill Skyhawks Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control Sacred Heart Pioneers Run-heavy · 67% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Stonehill Skyhawks
TE Cole Clarke 11 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD #26 TE
DL Christopher Gill 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #261 DL
LB Caden Henritzy 21 tkl · 1.0 TFL #163 LB
DB Mo Seide 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #267 DB
Sacred Heart Pioneers
WR Dean Hangey 6 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD #215 WR
LB Myles Hamilton 14 tkl · 2.0 TFL #225 LB
DL Janier Armstead 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #474 DL
DB Ryan Palmieri 14 tkl #519 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Stonehill Skyhawks -17.0 -14.7 -2.2 #360
Sacred Heart Pioneers -15.6 -9.9 -5.6 #351

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Stonehill offense vs Sacred Heart defense-9.1 pts
Sacred Heart offense vs Stonehill defense-7.7 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.