← Matchups

Wofford

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.1 · #246
Our numberELON -9.3 no book has priced this game

Elon

· 2-1 (0-1) · power +0.1 · #173
Our side
MoneylineELON to win ours 72%
Projected score 17–26 WOF – ELON
2026-10-10 · 2:00 PM Rhodes Stadium · Elon, NC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wofford lead 12–3 · 15 meetings since 1921
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Elon Phoenix 169 ranks
Wofford Terriers #230 rush offense Elon Phoenix #61 run defense
Pass game edge Elon Phoenix 81 ranks
Wofford Terriers #214 pass offense Elon Phoenix #133 pass defense
Run game edge Wofford Terriers 119 ranks
Elon Phoenix #126 rush offense Wofford Terriers #7 run defense
Pass game even 27 ranks apart
Elon Phoenix #123 pass offense Wofford Terriers #96 pass defense
Wofford Terriers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Elon Phoenix Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 51 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Wofford Terriers
LB Wyatt Ward 28 tkl · 2.5 TFL #16 LB
RB Gerald Modest Jr. 246 rush yds · 4 TD · 6 rec #26 RB
DB Cole Walker 14 tkl · 5 PD #75 DB
LB Javario Tinch 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #86 LB
Elon Phoenix
RB Kamerin McDowell-Moore 280 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #71 RB
LB Brodie Carroll 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #110 LB
DL Dillon Pardue 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #257 DL
DB Remington Moss 6 tkl · 5 PD #265 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Wofford Terriers -5.1 -10.2 +5.0 #246
Elon Phoenix +0.1 -4.9 +5.0 #173

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Wofford offense vs Elon defense-15.2 pts
Elon offense vs Wofford defense-9.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment+8.3

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).