Our side
MoneylineCAM to win
ours 30%
Projected score
32–23
CAM – ME
2026-10-24 · 1:00 PM
Harold Alfond Sports Stadium · Orono, ME
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Campbell lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Maine Black Bears
92 ranks
Campbell Fighting Camels #197 rush offense
Maine Black Bears #105 run defense
Pass game
edge Maine Black Bears
129 ranks
Campbell Fighting Camels #173 pass offense
Maine Black Bears #44 pass defense
Run game
edge Maine Black Bears
147 ranks
Maine Black Bears #78 rush offense
Campbell Fighting Camels #225 run defense
Pass game
edge Maine Black Bears
104 ranks
Maine Black Bears #118 pass offense
Campbell Fighting Camels #222 pass defense
Campbell Fighting Camels
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Maine Black Bears
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Campbell Fighting Camels
DL
Justin Garza
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#124 DL
DL
Ebenezer Bedada
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#197 DL
WR
Spencer Jones
15 rec · 203 yds · 1 TD
#136 WR
LB
AJ Benton
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#135 LB
Maine Black Bears
DL
Chris Bacon
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#24 DL
LB
Sam Oppenheimer
32 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#17 LB
DL
Bryce Purnell
11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#161 DL
DL
Derek Berlitz
15 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#184 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Campbell offense vs Maine defense+2.9 pts
Maine offense vs Campbell defense-6.1 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment-6.5
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 843 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.