Our side
MoneylineBRY to win
ours 64%
Projected score
26–32
STBK – BRY
2026-10-24 · 2:00 PM
Beirne Stadium · Smithfield, RI
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Stony Brook lead
6–1
· 7 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
23 ranks apart
Stony Brook Seawolves #110 rush offense
Bryant Bulldogs #87 run defense
Pass game
even
8 ranks apart
Stony Brook Seawolves #229 pass offense
Bryant Bulldogs #221 pass defense
Run game
edge Stony Brook Seawolves
175 ranks
Bryant Bulldogs #209 rush offense
Stony Brook Seawolves #34 run defense
Pass game
edge Stony Brook Seawolves
47 ranks
Bryant Bulldogs #208 pass offense
Stony Brook Seawolves #161 pass defense
Stony Brook Seawolves
Balanced · 52% run
Up-tempo
Bryant Bulldogs
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stony Brook Seawolves
DL
Khalid Bueno
21 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 8.5 TFL
#2 DL
DB
Joseph Garcia
34 tkl · 1 INT
#3 DB
WR
Seth Sweitzer
24 rec · 288 yds · 2 TD
#22 WR
TE
Keiden Gutierrez
10 rec · 102 yds · 2 TD
#14 TE
Bryant Bulldogs
DL
Toby Brown Jr.
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#190 DL
DB
Olatunde Mkparu
20 tkl · 1 PD
#335 DB
WR
Shamar Fowles
5 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
#341 WR
RB
OJ Ross
154 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 rec
#246 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stony Brook offense vs Bryant defense+0.6 pts
Bryant offense vs Stony Brook defense+4.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.9 pts
Power projection before adjustment+6.5
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).