← Matchups

Sacred Heart

· 0-2 · power -15.6 · #351
Our numberSTBK -7.5 no book has priced this game

Stony Brook

· 1-2 · power -11.1 · #310
Our side
MoneylineSTBK to win ours 68%
Projected score 25–33 SHU – STBK
2026-10-31 · 12:00 PM Kenneth P. LaValle Stadium · Stony Brook, NY Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Sacred Heart and Stony Brook split 6 (3–3) · 6 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 15 ranks apart
Sacred Heart Pioneers #19 rush offense Stony Brook Seawolves #34 run defense
Pass game edge Sacred Heart Pioneers 92 ranks
Sacred Heart Pioneers #69 pass offense Stony Brook Seawolves #161 pass defense
Run game edge Stony Brook Seawolves 96 ranks
Stony Brook Seawolves #110 rush offense Sacred Heart Pioneers #206 run defense
Pass game even 39 ranks apart
Stony Brook Seawolves #229 pass offense Sacred Heart Pioneers #190 pass defense
Sacred Heart Pioneers Run-heavy · 67% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg Stony Brook Seawolves Balanced · 52% run Up-tempo

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Sacred Heart Pioneers
WR Dean Hangey 6 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD #215 WR
LB Myles Hamilton 14 tkl · 2.0 TFL #225 LB
DL Janier Armstead 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #474 DL
DB Ryan Palmieri 14 tkl #519 DB
Stony Brook Seawolves
DL Khalid Bueno 21 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 8.5 TFL #2 DL
DB Joseph Garcia 34 tkl · 1 INT #3 DB
WR Seth Sweitzer 24 rec · 288 yds · 2 TD #22 WR
TE Keiden Gutierrez 10 rec · 102 yds · 2 TD #14 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Sacred Heart Pioneers -15.6 -9.9 -5.6 #351
Stony Brook Seawolves -11.1 -1.3 -9.8 #310

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Sacred Heart offense vs Stony Brook defense-0.1 pts
Stony Brook offense vs Sacred Heart defense+4.4 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.