Our side
MoneylineMONM to win
ours 59%
Projected score
28–32
BRY – MONM
2026-10-31 · 1:00 PM
Kessler Stadium · West Long Branch, NJ
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Monmouth lead
8–1
· 9 meetings since 2008
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Monmouth Hawks
75 ranks
Bryant Bulldogs #209 rush offense
Monmouth Hawks #134 run defense
Pass game
edge Monmouth Hawks
80 ranks
Bryant Bulldogs #208 pass offense
Monmouth Hawks #128 pass defense
Run game
edge Monmouth Hawks
61 ranks
Monmouth Hawks #26 rush offense
Bryant Bulldogs #87 run defense
Pass game
edge Monmouth Hawks
200 ranks
Monmouth Hawks #21 pass offense
Bryant Bulldogs #221 pass defense
Bryant Bulldogs
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Monmouth Hawks
Balanced · 51% run
Up-tempo
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Bryant Bulldogs
DL
Toby Brown Jr.
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#190 DL
DB
Olatunde Mkparu
20 tkl · 1 PD
#335 DB
WR
Shamar Fowles
5 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
#341 WR
RB
OJ Ross
154 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 rec
#246 RB
Monmouth Hawks
DB
Jaeden Jones
33 tkl
#31 DB
RB
Kenny Smith Jr.
166 rush yds · 2 TD · 8 rec
#41 RB
WR
Tra Neal
19 rec · 188 yds · 1 TD
#63 WR
WR
Gavin Nelson
19 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
#83 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Bryant offense vs Monmouth defense+3.7 pts
Monmouth offense vs Bryant defense+3.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.5 pts
Power projection before adjustment+3.1
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).