Our side
MoneylineELON to win
ours 6%
Projected score
38–13
ELON – NCAT
2026-10-31 · 1:00 PM
Truist Stadium · Greensboro, NC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
North Carolina A&T lead
6–5
· 11 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Elon Phoenix
113 ranks
Elon Phoenix #126 rush offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #239 run defense
Pass game
edge Elon Phoenix
128 ranks
Elon Phoenix #123 pass offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #251 pass defense
Run game
edge Elon Phoenix
156 ranks
North Carolina A&T Aggies #217 rush offense
Elon Phoenix #61 run defense
Pass game
even
36 ranks apart
North Carolina A&T Aggies #169 pass offense
Elon Phoenix #133 pass defense
Elon Phoenix
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 51 rush ypg
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Elon Phoenix
RB
Kamerin McDowell-Moore
280 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#71 RB
LB
Brodie Carroll
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#110 LB
DL
Dillon Pardue
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#257 DL
DB
Remington Moss
6 tkl · 5 PD
#265 DB
North Carolina A&T Aggies
TE
Anthony Rucker
7 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD
#29 TE
DB
Mykell Harvey
16 tkl · 2 PD
#183 DB
WR
Elijah Kennedy
13 rec · 152 yds · 2 TD
#148 WR
DL
Eddie Conover
8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#336 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Elon offense vs North Carolina A&T defense+6.8 pts
North Carolina A&T offense vs Elon defense-17.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-3.7 pts
Power projection before adjustment-21.9
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).