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UAlbany

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -6.2 · #254
Our numberUALB -0.2 no book has priced this game

Bryant

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -7.5 · #269
Our side
MoneylineUALB to win ours 50%
Projected score 25–25 UALB – BRY
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM Beirne Stadium · Smithfield, RI Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series UAlbany lead 4–3 · 7 meetings since 2009
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Bryant Bulldogs 121 ranks
UAlbany Great Danes #208 rush offense Bryant Bulldogs #87 run defense
Pass game even 6 ranks apart
UAlbany Great Danes #227 pass offense Bryant Bulldogs #221 pass defense
Run game edge UAlbany Great Danes 61 ranks
Bryant Bulldogs #209 rush offense UAlbany Great Danes #148 run defense
Pass game edge UAlbany Great Danes 45 ranks
Bryant Bulldogs #208 pass offense UAlbany Great Danes #163 pass defense
UAlbany Great Danes Balanced · 52% run Ball-control Bryant Bulldogs Balanced · 54% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
UAlbany Great Danes
DL Shawan Lewis 10 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #48 DL
DB Victor Holt 19 tkl · 2 PD #176 DB
RB Joey Koch 216 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec #95 RB
DL Isaiah Boyd 11 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #304 DL
Bryant Bulldogs
DL Toby Brown Jr. 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #190 DL
DB Olatunde Mkparu 20 tkl · 1 PD #335 DB
WR Shamar Fowles 5 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD #341 WR
RB OJ Ross 154 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 rec #246 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
UAlbany Great Danes -6.2 -7.7 +1.5 #254
Bryant Bulldogs -7.5 -5.6 -1.9 #269

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
UAlbany offense vs Bryant defense-5.8 pts
Bryant offense vs UAlbany defense-7.1 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+1.4

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).