Our side
MoneylineELON to win
ours 97%
Projected score
9–40
HAMP – ELON
2026-11-07 · 2:00 PM
Rhodes Stadium · Elon, NC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Elon lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Elon Phoenix
157 ranks
Hampton Pirates #218 rush offense
Elon Phoenix #61 run defense
Pass game
edge Elon Phoenix
98 ranks
Hampton Pirates #231 pass offense
Elon Phoenix #133 pass defense
Run game
edge Elon Phoenix
130 ranks
Elon Phoenix #126 rush offense
Hampton Pirates #256 run defense
Pass game
edge Elon Phoenix
85 ranks
Elon Phoenix #123 pass offense
Hampton Pirates #208 pass defense
Hampton Pirates
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Elon Phoenix
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 51 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Hampton Pirates
DB
Cam Sturdifen
27 tkl
#143 DB
DB
Caden Rice
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#154 DB
DL
Korede Sogbesan
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#333 DL
DB
Qwae Willis
16 tkl · 1 PD
#410 DB
Elon Phoenix
RB
Kamerin McDowell-Moore
280 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#71 RB
LB
Brodie Carroll
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#110 LB
DL
Dillon Pardue
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#257 DL
DB
Remington Moss
6 tkl · 5 PD
#265 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Hampton offense vs Elon defense-19.9 pts
Elon offense vs Hampton defense+5.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+2.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment+29.3
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).