Our side
MoneylineURI to win
ours 19%
Projected score
37–22
URI – UNH
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM
Wildcat Stadium (NH) · Durham, NH
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
New Hampshire lead
16–6
· 22 meetings since 1905
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Rhode Island Rams
91 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #136 rush offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #227 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
134 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #19 pass offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #153 pass defense
Run game
even
19 ranks apart
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 rush offense
Rhode Island Rams #135 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
68 ranks
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 pass offense
Rhode Island Rams #48 pass defense
Rhode Island Rams
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
New Hampshire Wildcats
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Rhode Island Rams
WR
Marquis Buchanan
20 rec · 234 yds · 3 TD
#19 WR
LB
Moses Meus
16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#29 LB
DL
Case Mankins
6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#107 DL
DB
Andre DePina-Gray
16 tkl · 2 INT
#206 DB
New Hampshire Wildcats
LB
Trevor Barry
39 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#21 LB
DB
Jackson Stone
27 tkl · 1 PD
#76 DB
WR
Ja'Carree Kelly
14 rec · 211 yds · 1 TD
#110 WR
RB
Joquez Smith
208 rush yds · 3 TD
#82 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Rhode Island offense vs New Hampshire defense+10.3 pts
New Hampshire offense vs Rhode Island defense-5.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment-13.3
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.