Our side
MoneylineHAMP to win
ours 53%
Projected score
26–27
NCAT – HAMP
2026-11-14 · 1:00 PM
Armstrong Stadium · Hampton, VA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Hampton lead
11–5
· 16 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
39 ranks apart
North Carolina A&T Aggies #217 rush offense
Hampton Pirates #256 run defense
Pass game
even
39 ranks apart
North Carolina A&T Aggies #169 pass offense
Hampton Pirates #208 pass defense
Run game
even
21 ranks apart
Hampton Pirates #218 rush offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #239 run defense
Pass game
even
20 ranks apart
Hampton Pirates #231 pass offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #251 pass defense
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Hampton Pirates
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Carolina A&T Aggies
TE
Anthony Rucker
7 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD
#29 TE
DB
Mykell Harvey
16 tkl · 2 PD
#183 DB
WR
Elijah Kennedy
13 rec · 152 yds · 2 TD
#148 WR
DL
Eddie Conover
8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#336 DL
Hampton Pirates
DB
Cam Sturdifen
27 tkl
#143 DB
DB
Caden Rice
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#154 DB
DL
Korede Sogbesan
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#333 DL
DB
Qwae Willis
16 tkl · 1 PD
#410 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Carolina A&T offense vs Hampton defense-1.5 pts
Hampton offense vs North Carolina A&T defense-3.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment+1.1
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).