Our side
MoneylineUNH to win
ours 53%
Projected score
32–32
STBK – UNH
2026-11-14 · 1:00 PM
Wildcat Stadium (NH) · Durham, NH
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
New Hampshire lead
9–3
· 12 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Stony Brook Seawolves
117 ranks
Stony Brook Seawolves #110 rush offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #227 run defense
Pass game
edge New Hampshire Wildcats
76 ranks
Stony Brook Seawolves #229 pass offense
New Hampshire Wildcats #153 pass defense
Run game
edge Stony Brook Seawolves
82 ranks
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 rush offense
Stony Brook Seawolves #34 run defense
Pass game
edge New Hampshire Wildcats
45 ranks
New Hampshire Wildcats #116 pass offense
Stony Brook Seawolves #161 pass defense
Stony Brook Seawolves
Balanced · 52% run
Up-tempo
New Hampshire Wildcats
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stony Brook Seawolves
DL
Khalid Bueno
21 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 8.5 TFL
#2 DL
DB
Joseph Garcia
34 tkl · 1 INT
#3 DB
WR
Seth Sweitzer
24 rec · 288 yds · 2 TD
#22 WR
TE
Keiden Gutierrez
10 rec · 102 yds · 2 TD
#14 TE
New Hampshire Wildcats
LB
Trevor Barry
39 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#21 LB
DB
Jackson Stone
27 tkl · 1 PD
#76 DB
WR
Ja'Carree Kelly
14 rec · 211 yds · 1 TD
#110 WR
RB
Joquez Smith
208 rush yds · 3 TD
#82 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stony Brook offense vs New Hampshire defense+7.6 pts
New Hampshire offense vs Stony Brook defense+7.8 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.9 pts
Power projection before adjustment+3.0
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).