← Matchups

Campbell

· 2-1 · power -4.6 · #235
Our numberELON -9.7 no book has priced this game

Elon

· 2-1 (0-1) · power +0.1 · #173
Our side
MoneylineELON to win ours 72%
Projected score 21–31 CAM – ELON
2026-11-14 · 2:00 PM Rhodes Stadium · Elon, NC Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Elon lead 4–0 · 4 meetings since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Elon Phoenix 136 ranks
Campbell Fighting Camels #197 rush offense Elon Phoenix #61 run defense
Pass game even 40 ranks apart
Campbell Fighting Camels #173 pass offense Elon Phoenix #133 pass defense
Run game edge Elon Phoenix 99 ranks
Elon Phoenix #126 rush offense Campbell Fighting Camels #225 run defense
Pass game edge Elon Phoenix 99 ranks
Elon Phoenix #123 pass offense Campbell Fighting Camels #222 pass defense
Campbell Fighting Camels Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Elon Phoenix Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 51 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Campbell Fighting Camels
DL Justin Garza 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #124 DL
DL Ebenezer Bedada 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #197 DL
WR Spencer Jones 15 rec · 203 yds · 1 TD #136 WR
LB AJ Benton 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #135 LB
Elon Phoenix
RB Kamerin McDowell-Moore 280 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #71 RB
LB Brodie Carroll 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #110 LB
DL Dillon Pardue 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #257 DL
DB Remington Moss 6 tkl · 5 PD #265 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Campbell Fighting Camels -4.6 -1.1 -3.5 #235
Elon Phoenix +0.1 -4.9 +5.0 #173

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Campbell offense vs Elon defense-6.1 pts
Elon offense vs Campbell defense-1.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+2.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment+7.7

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).