← Matchups

Delaware State

· 2-1 · power -8.5 · #279
Our numberW&M -6.5 no book has priced this game

William & Mary

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.0 · #244
Final DSU 15 · W&M 22 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineW&M to win logged ours 64%

Our number: W&M by 11.0 — W&M to win.

Projected score 25–31 DSU – W&M
2026-09-05 · 6:00 PM Walter J. Zable Stadium · Williamsburg, VA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Delaware State Hornets 232 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #6 rush offense William & Mary Tribe #238 run defense
Pass game edge Delaware State Hornets 46 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #167 pass offense William & Mary Tribe #213 pass defense
Run game even 20 ranks apart
William & Mary Tribe #104 rush offense Delaware State Hornets #124 run defense
Pass game even 24 ranks apart
William & Mary Tribe #102 pass offense Delaware State Hornets #126 pass defense
Delaware State Hornets Run-heavy · 67% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg William & Mary Tribe Balanced · 56% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 56 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Delaware State Hornets
DB Kemari Nix 17 tkl · 1 PD #64 DB
DL Quoy Rainey 13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #173 DL
DL Gensley Auguste 11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #235 DL
WR Jaylin Terzado 10 rec · 185 yds · 1 TD #158 WR
William & Mary Tribe
DL Nathaniel McDonald 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #37 DL
K Max Lipinski 8 FG · 5 XP · 29 pts #13 K
DB Trevon Cannon 17 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #130 DB
DB David Roulley 14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #157 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Delaware State Hornets -8.5 -6.5 -2.0 #279
William & Mary Tribe -5.0 -0.6 -4.4 #244

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Delaware State offense vs William & Mary defense-2.2 pts
William & Mary offense vs Delaware State defense+1.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.