← Matchups

Brown

· power -10.4 · #302

Our numberBRWN -8.0 ~~no book has priced this game~~

New Haven

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -20.9 · #380

Our side

MoneylineBRWN to win ours 33%

Projected score 33–26 BRWN – NHVN

2026-09-19 · 12:00 PM Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium · West Haven, CT Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge New Haven Chargers ~~112 ranks~~

Brown Bears #196 rush offense New Haven Chargers #84 run defense

Pass game edge New Haven Chargers ~~56 ranks~~

Brown Bears #147 pass offense New Haven Chargers #91 pass defense

Run game even ~~40 ranks apart~~

New Haven Chargers #163 rush offense Brown Bears #203 run defense

Pass game even ~~10 ranks apart~~

New Haven Chargers #100 pass offense Brown Bears #110 pass defense

Brown Bears Balanced · 45% run Avg pace New Haven Chargers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Brown Bears

No graded players for this team in 2025.

New Haven Chargers

DB Myles Hansford 14 tkl · 2 PD #196 DB

DL Tyler Hammel 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #273 DL

DB Mason Taylor 20 tkl #294 DB

P Joe Fragale 14 punts · 41.5 yd avg #33 P

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Brown Bears	-10.4	-3.2	-7.3	#302
New Haven Chargers	-20.9	-9.8	-11.1	#380

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Brown offense vs New Haven defense+8.0 pts

New Haven offense vs Brown defense-2.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.