← Matchups

Harvard

· power +5.6 · #115
Our numberHARV -13.8 no book has priced this game

Brown

· power -10.4 · #302
Our side
MoneylineHARV to win ours 22%
Projected score 38–24 HARV – BRWN
2026-09-25 · 7:00 PM Brown Stadium (RI) · Providence, RI Conference game Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Harvard lead 77–24–2 · 103 meetings since 1893
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Harvard Crimson 172 ranks
Harvard Crimson #31 rush offense Brown Bears #203 run defense
Pass game edge Harvard Crimson 92 ranks
Harvard Crimson #18 pass offense Brown Bears #110 pass defense
Run game edge Harvard Crimson 126 ranks
Brown Bears #196 rush offense Harvard Crimson #70 run defense
Pass game edge Harvard Crimson 79 ranks
Brown Bears #147 pass offense Harvard Crimson #68 pass defense
Harvard Crimson Balanced · 45% run Ball-control Brown Bears Balanced · 45% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Harvard Crimson +5.6 +6.5 -0.8 #115
Brown Bears -10.4 -3.2 -7.3 #302

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Harvard offense vs Brown defense+13.7 pts
Brown offense vs Harvard defense-2.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.