Brown
· power -10.4 · #302
Our numberPRIN -3.5
no book has priced this game
Princeton
· power -9.8 · #293
Our side
MoneylinePRIN to win
ours 59%
Projected score
25–28
BRWN – PRIN
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Princeton lead
48–22
· 70 meetings since 1898
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
27 ranks apart
Brown Bears #196 rush offense
Princeton Tigers #169 run defense
Pass game
even
10 ranks apart
Brown Bears #147 pass offense
Princeton Tigers #157 pass defense
Run game
even
44 ranks apart
Princeton Tigers #159 rush offense
Brown Bears #203 run defense
Pass game
edge Brown Bears
88 ranks
Princeton Tigers #198 pass offense
Brown Bears #110 pass defense
Brown Bears
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Princeton Tigers
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown Bears |
-10.4 | -3.2 | -7.3 | #302 |
| Princeton Tigers |
-9.8 | -9.6 | -0.2 | #293 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Brown offense vs Princeton defense-2.9 pts
Princeton offense vs Brown defense-2.3 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.