← Matchups

Princeton

· power -9.8 · #293
Our numberPRIN -2.9 no book has priced this game

Columbia

· power -15.4 · #349
Our side
MoneylinePRIN to win ours 43%
Projected score 24–21 PRIN – COLU
2026-10-03 · 12:00 PM Lawrence A. Wien Stadium · New York, NY Conference game Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Princeton lead 60–12–1 · 73 meetings since 1874
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 22 ranks apart
Princeton Tigers #159 rush offense Columbia Lions #181 run defense
Pass game even 25 ranks apart
Princeton Tigers #198 pass offense Columbia Lions #223 pass defense
Run game even 24 ranks apart
Columbia Lions #193 rush offense Princeton Tigers #169 run defense
Pass game edge Princeton Tigers 59 ranks
Columbia Lions #216 pass offense Princeton Tigers #157 pass defense
Princeton Tigers Balanced · 53% run Avg pace Columbia Lions Balanced · 54% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Princeton Tigers -9.8 -9.6 -0.2 #293
Columbia Lions -15.4 -13.8 -1.6 #349

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Princeton offense vs Columbia defense-8.0 pts
Columbia offense vs Princeton defense-13.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.