Yale
· power +4.7 · #126
Our numberHARV -1.3
no book has priced this game
Harvard
· power +5.6 · #115
Our side
MoneylineHARV to win
ours 53%
Projected score
28–30
YALE – HARV
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Yale lead
62–50–8
· 120 meetings since 1875
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Harvard Crimson
64 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #134 rush offense
Harvard Crimson #70 run defense
Pass game
even
4 ranks apart
Yale Bulldogs #64 pass offense
Harvard Crimson #68 pass defense
Run game
even
13 ranks apart
Harvard Crimson #31 rush offense
Yale Bulldogs #44 run defense
Pass game
edge Harvard Crimson
86 ranks
Harvard Crimson #18 pass offense
Yale Bulldogs #104 pass defense
Yale Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Harvard Crimson
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yale Bulldogs |
+4.7 | +1.8 | +2.9 | #126 |
| Harvard Crimson |
+5.6 | +6.5 | -0.8 | #115 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Yale offense vs Harvard defense+2.6 pts
Harvard offense vs Yale defense+3.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.