← Matchups

Southeast Missouri State

· 1-2 · power -7.0 · #263
Our numberINST -0.4 no book has priced this game

Indiana State

· 1-2 · power -9.4 · #288
Final SEMO 23 · INST 21 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineINST to win logged ours 51%

Our number: INST by 6.2 — INST to win.

Projected score 28–28 SEMO – INST
2026-08-29 · 6:00 PM Memorial Stadium (Terre Haute, IN) · Terre Haute, IN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Indiana State and Southeast Missouri State split 4 (2–2) · 4 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 15 ranks apart
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #243 rush offense Indiana State Sycamores #258 run defense
Pass game edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 124 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #125 pass offense Indiana State Sycamores #249 pass defense
Run game edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 117 ranks
Indiana State Sycamores #221 rush offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #104 run defense
Pass game even 4 ranks apart
Indiana State Sycamores #166 pass offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #162 pass defense
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Indiana State Sycamores Balanced · 54% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
DB DJ Delmore 22 tkl · 2 PD #20 DB
DL Timothy Maxson 12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #72 DL
P Teagan Cobb 15 punts · 45.4 yd avg #12 P
WR John Anthony Jr. 10 rec · 219 yds · 2 TD #98 WR
Indiana State Sycamores
DL Kaleb Harris 12 tkl · 3.5 TFL #65 DL
DB Nic Yatsko 25 tkl · 2 PD #83 DB
WR BJ Wuest 11 rec · 226 yds · 1 TD #156 WR
WR Keshon Singleton 12 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD #167 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -7.0 -5.5 -1.5 #263
Indiana State Sycamores -9.4 -2.5 -6.9 #288

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Southeast Missouri State offense vs Indiana State defense+1.4 pts
Indiana State offense vs Southeast Missouri State defense-0.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.