Final
STMN 26 · UND 62
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUND to win logged
ours 84%
Our number: UND by 16.8 — UND to win.
Projected score
22–40
STMN – UND
2026-09-05 · 4:00 PM
Alerus Center · Grand Forks, ND
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
120 ranks
St. Thomas Tommies #146 rush offense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #26 run defense
Pass game
even
4 ranks apart
St. Thomas Tommies #48 pass offense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #52 pass defense
Run game
edge St. Thomas Tommies
106 ranks
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #120 rush offense
St. Thomas Tommies #14 run defense
Pass game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
168 ranks
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #73 pass offense
St. Thomas Tommies #241 pass defense
St. Thomas Tommies
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
St. Thomas Tommies
DB
Peyton Himley
14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#85 DB
LB
Malachi Boadi-Aboagye
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#60 LB
WR
Pierce McCrary
13 rec · 172 yds · 1 TD
#142 WR
DL
Evan Tyler
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#282 DL
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
P
Luke Silvernale
5 punts · 49.8 yd avg
#2 P
WR
Korey Tai
12 rec · 274 yds · 4 TD
#30 WR
DB
Jonnie Wiltshire
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#89 DB
DL
Brody Thornton
8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#114 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
St. Thomas-Minnesota offense vs North Dakota defense-0.9 pts
North Dakota offense vs St. Thomas-Minnesota defense+13.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.