Final
CCSU 20 · SDAK 59
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSDAK to win logged
ours 90%
Our number: SDAK by 15.3 — SDAK to win.
Projected score
21–43
CCSU – SDAK
2026-08-29 · 2:00 PM
The DakotaDome · Vermillion, SD
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
84 ranks
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #227 rush offense
South Dakota Coyotes #143 run defense
Pass game
edge Central Connecticut Blue Devils
127 ranks
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #107 pass offense
South Dakota Coyotes #234 pass defense
Run game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
148 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #60 rush offense
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #208 run defense
Pass game
even
38 ranks apart
South Dakota Coyotes #27 pass offense
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #65 pass defense
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
South Dakota Coyotes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
DB
Mel Jacobs
2 tkl · 1 INT
#174 DB
DB
Eric Jackson
10 tkl · 1 PD
#426 DB
DB
Deonte Douglas
13 tkl
#490 DB
WR
Michael Trovarelli
5 rec · 45 yds · 1 TD
#379 WR
South Dakota Coyotes
P
Brook Honore Jr.
9 punts · 47.1 yd avg
#5 P
RB
Charles Pierre Jr.
261 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec
#27 RB
WR
Brayden White
13 rec · 164 yds · 4 TD
#61 WR
K
Bohdie Ing
4 FG · 18 XP · 30 pts
#15 K
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Central Connecticut offense vs South Dakota defense-1.6 pts
South Dakota offense vs Central Connecticut defense+17.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,234 mi
Altitude · context only327 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.