← Matchups

Eastern Washington

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -3.0 · #215
Our numberSDAK -15.7 no book has priced this game

South Dakota

· 3-0 · power +9.5 · #88
Final EWU 23 · SDAK 41 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSDAK to win logged ours 81%

Our number: SDAK by 16.8 — SDAK to win.

Projected score 22–38 EWU – SDAK
2026-09-12 · 2:00 PM The DakotaDome · Vermillion, SD Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series South Dakota lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2011
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 41 ranks apart
Eastern Washington Eagles #184 rush offense South Dakota Coyotes #143 run defense
Pass game even 4 ranks apart
Eastern Washington Eagles #238 pass offense South Dakota Coyotes #234 pass defense
Run game edge South Dakota Coyotes 84 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #60 rush offense Eastern Washington Eagles #144 run defense
Pass game edge South Dakota Coyotes 98 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #27 pass offense Eastern Washington Eagles #125 pass defense
Eastern Washington Eagles Balanced · 48% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 74 rush ypg South Dakota Coyotes Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Eastern Washington Eagles
DB Bryce Smith 30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT #5 DB
DL Ben Voigtlaender 14 tkl · 2.5 TFL #40 DL
LB Myles Mayovsky 33 tkl · 1.0 TFL #33 LB
WR Wesley Garrett 18 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD #42 WR
South Dakota Coyotes
P Brook Honore Jr. 9 punts · 47.1 yd avg #5 P
RB Charles Pierre Jr. 261 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec #27 RB
WR Brayden White 13 rec · 164 yds · 4 TD #61 WR
K Bohdie Ing 4 FG · 18 XP · 30 pts #15 K

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Eastern Washington Eagles -3.0 -0.3 -2.7 #215
South Dakota Coyotes +9.5 +8.1 +1.4 #88

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Eastern Washington offense vs South Dakota defense-1.7 pts
South Dakota offense vs Eastern Washington defense+10.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,054 mi
Altitude · context only383 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.