Our side
MoneylineSDAK to win
ours 74%
Projected score
26–36
SIU – SDAK
2026-10-10 · 2:00 PM
The DakotaDome · Vermillion, SD
Conference game
Indoors
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Dakota lead
7–4
· 11 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Southern Illinois Salukis
141 ranks
Southern Illinois Salukis #2 rush offense
South Dakota Coyotes #143 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Illinois Salukis
189 ranks
Southern Illinois Salukis #45 pass offense
South Dakota Coyotes #234 pass defense
Run game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
102 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #60 rush offense
Southern Illinois Salukis #162 run defense
Pass game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
180 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #27 pass offense
Southern Illinois Salukis #207 pass defense
Southern Illinois Salukis
Balanced · 55% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 71 rush ypg
South Dakota Coyotes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Illinois Salukis
DL
Ibrahim Sanogo
11 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#15 DL
LB
Ben Fiegel
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL
#28 LB
LB
Andrew Behm
18 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#122 LB
WR
Kyle Thomas
6 rec · 150 yds · 1 TD
#218 WR
South Dakota Coyotes
P
Brook Honore Jr.
9 punts · 47.1 yd avg
#5 P
RB
Charles Pierre Jr.
261 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec
#27 RB
WR
Brayden White
13 rec · 164 yds · 4 TD
#61 WR
K
Bohdie Ing
4 FG · 18 XP · 30 pts
#15 K
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Southern Illinois offense vs South Dakota defense+1.9 pts
South Dakota offense vs Southern Illinois defense+8.8 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.7 pts
Power projection before adjustment+10.0
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 537 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.