Our side
MoneylineSDAK to win
ours 48%
Projected score
32–31
SDAK – SDST
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium · Brookings, SD
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Dakota State lead
10–3
· 13 meetings since 2012
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
30 ranks apart
South Dakota Coyotes #60 rush offense
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #30 run defense
Pass game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
66 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #27 pass offense
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #93 pass defense
Run game
even
36 ranks apart
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #107 rush offense
South Dakota Coyotes #143 run defense
Pass game
edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits
123 ranks
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #111 pass offense
South Dakota Coyotes #234 pass defense
South Dakota Coyotes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Dakota Coyotes
P
Brook Honore Jr.
9 punts · 47.1 yd avg
#5 P
RB
Charles Pierre Jr.
261 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec
#27 RB
WR
Brayden White
13 rec · 164 yds · 4 TD
#61 WR
K
Bohdie Ing
4 FG · 18 XP · 30 pts
#15 K
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
K
Tristan Alvano
6 FG · 17 XP · 35 pts
#4 K
P
Max Pelham
10 punts · 47.9 yd avg
#3 P
TE
Greyton Gannon
5 rec · 81 yds · 2 TD
#36 TE
WR
Grahm Goering
13 rec · 254 yds
#127 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Dakota offense vs South Dakota State defense+8.2 pts
South Dakota State offense vs South Dakota defense+4.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-1.2
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).