← Matchups

Northern Iowa

· 1-1 · power -4.0 · #230

Our numberSDAK -16.8 ~~no book has priced this game~~

South Dakota

· 3-0 · power +9.5 · #88

Our side

MoneylineSDAK to win ours 85%

Projected score 21–38 UNI – SDAK

2026-11-14 · 2:00 PM The DakotaDome · Vermillion, SD Conference game Indoors Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Northern Iowa lead 10–5 · 15 meetings since 2008

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge South Dakota Coyotes ~~80 ranks~~

Northern Iowa Panthers #223 rush offense South Dakota Coyotes #143 run defense

Pass game edge Northern Iowa Panthers ~~60 ranks~~

Northern Iowa Panthers #174 pass offense South Dakota Coyotes #234 pass defense

Run game edge South Dakota Coyotes ~~139 ranks~~

South Dakota Coyotes #60 rush offense Northern Iowa Panthers #199 run defense

Pass game edge South Dakota Coyotes ~~174 ranks~~

South Dakota Coyotes #27 pass offense Northern Iowa Panthers #201 pass defense

Northern Iowa Panthers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control South Dakota Coyotes Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Northern Iowa Panthers

TE Brady McCullough 7 rec · 98 yds · 3 TD #11 TE

DB Calvin Jaworski 7 tkl · 1 INT #132 DB

LB John Powers 20 tkl #123 LB

LB Kolben Miller 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #151 LB

South Dakota Coyotes

P Brook Honore Jr. 9 punts · 47.1 yd avg #5 P

RB Charles Pierre Jr. 261 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec #27 RB

WR Brayden White 13 rec · 164 yds · 4 TD #61 WR

K Bohdie Ing 4 FG · 18 XP · 30 pts #15 K

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Northern Iowa Panthers	-4.0	-2.5	-1.5	#230
South Dakota Coyotes	+9.5	+8.1	+1.4	#88

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Northern Iowa offense vs South Dakota defense-3.9 pts

South Dakota offense vs Northern Iowa defense+9.6 pts

Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.