← Matchups

Southeast Missouri State

· 1-2 · power -7.0 · #263
Our numberSIU -12.7 no book has priced this game

Southern Illinois

· 2-1 · power +2.6 · #143
Final SEMO 20 · SIU 34 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSIU to win logged ours 76%

Our number: SIU by 13.6 — SIU to win.

Projected score 22–34 SEMO – SIU
2026-09-12 · 7:00 PM Saluki Stadium · Carbondale, IL Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Southern Illinois lead 17–6 · 23 meetings since 1983
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Southern Illinois Salukis 81 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #243 rush offense Southern Illinois Salukis #162 run defense
Pass game edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 82 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #125 pass offense Southern Illinois Salukis #207 pass defense
Run game edge Southern Illinois Salukis 102 ranks
Southern Illinois Salukis #2 rush offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #104 run defense
Pass game edge Southern Illinois Salukis 117 ranks
Southern Illinois Salukis #45 pass offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #162 pass defense
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Southern Illinois Salukis Balanced · 55% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 71 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
DB DJ Delmore 22 tkl · 2 PD #20 DB
DL Timothy Maxson 12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #72 DL
P Teagan Cobb 15 punts · 45.4 yd avg #12 P
WR John Anthony Jr. 10 rec · 219 yds · 2 TD #98 WR
Southern Illinois Salukis
DL Ibrahim Sanogo 11 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL #15 DL
LB Ben Fiegel 22 tkl · 4.5 TFL #28 LB
LB Andrew Behm 18 tkl · 1.5 TFL #122 LB
WR Kyle Thomas 6 rec · 150 yds · 1 TD #218 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -7.0 -5.5 -1.5 #263
Southern Illinois Salukis +2.6 +3.3 -0.7 #143

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Southeast Missouri State offense vs Southern Illinois defense-4.8 pts
Southern Illinois offense vs Southeast Missouri State defense+4.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.