← Matchups

New Haven

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -20.9 · #380
Our numberCCSU -14.5 no book has priced this game

Central Connecticut

· 0-2 · power -9.6 · #292
Our side
MoneylineCCSU to win ours 82%
Projected score 24–38 NHVN – CCSU
2026-10-24 · 12:00 PM Arute Field · New Britain, CT Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge New Haven Chargers 45 ranks
New Haven Chargers #163 rush offense Central Connecticut Blue Devils #208 run defense
Pass game even 35 ranks apart
New Haven Chargers #100 pass offense Central Connecticut Blue Devils #65 pass defense
Run game edge New Haven Chargers 143 ranks
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #227 rush offense New Haven Chargers #84 run defense
Pass game even 16 ranks apart
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #107 pass offense New Haven Chargers #91 pass defense
New Haven Chargers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Central Connecticut Blue Devils Balanced · 49% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
New Haven Chargers
DB Myles Hansford 14 tkl · 2 PD #196 DB
DL Tyler Hammel 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #273 DL
DB Mason Taylor 20 tkl #294 DB
P Joe Fragale 14 punts · 41.5 yd avg #33 P
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
DB Mel Jacobs 2 tkl · 1 INT #174 DB
DB Eric Jackson 10 tkl · 1 PD #426 DB
DB Deonte Douglas 13 tkl #490 DB
WR Michael Trovarelli 5 rec · 45 yds · 1 TD #379 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
New Haven Chargers -20.9 -9.8 -11.1 #380
Central Connecticut Blue Devils -9.6 -0.2 -9.4 #292

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
New Haven offense vs Central Connecticut defense-0.4 pts
Central Connecticut offense vs New Haven defense+10.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.