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Robert Morris

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -9.0 · #282
Our numberCCSU -2.2 no book has priced this game

Central Connecticut

· 0-2 · power -9.6 · #292
Our side
MoneylineCCSU to win ours 55%
Projected score 26–29 RMU – CCSU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Arute Field · New Britain, CT Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Central Connecticut lead 11–7 · 18 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Central Connecticut Blue Devils 52 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #260 rush offense Central Connecticut Blue Devils #208 run defense
Pass game edge Central Connecticut Blue Devils 155 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #220 pass offense Central Connecticut Blue Devils #65 pass defense
Run game edge Robert Morris Colonials 66 ranks
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #227 rush offense Robert Morris Colonials #161 run defense
Pass game even 13 ranks apart
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #107 pass offense Robert Morris Colonials #94 pass defense
Robert Morris Colonials Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Central Connecticut Blue Devils Balanced · 49% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Robert Morris Colonials
WR Galen Combs 15 rec · 307 yds · 5 TD #10 WR
DL Asher Wilson 14 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #30 DL
LB Amanuel Dickson 23 tkl · 3.5 TFL #40 LB
DL David Johnson 5 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL #362 DL
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
DB Mel Jacobs 2 tkl · 1 INT #174 DB
DB Eric Jackson 10 tkl · 1 PD #426 DB
DB Deonte Douglas 13 tkl #490 DB
WR Michael Trovarelli 5 rec · 45 yds · 1 TD #379 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Robert Morris Colonials -9.0 -9.9 +0.9 #282
Central Connecticut Blue Devils -9.6 -0.2 -9.4 #292

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Robert Morris offense vs Central Connecticut defense-0.6 pts
Central Connecticut offense vs Robert Morris defense-1.1 pts
Altitude · context only309 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.